Description

This analysis provides a forecast of FET prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-24 0.424328 0.489936 0.561404 0.644914 0.739691 0.843783 0.966635
2025-08-31 0.300823 0.387019 0.490325 0.622690 0.787159 0.984126 1.237155
2025-09-07 0.253834 0.353253 0.480888 0.655484 0.886635 1.180514 1.580510
2025-09-14 0.204771 0.304857 0.441105 0.638066 0.913006 1.280253 1.804348
2025-09-21 0.168874 0.266965 0.407604 0.620995 0.932887 1.367587 2.013557
2025-09-28 0.142176 0.237433 0.380597 0.607508 0.953085 1.453254 2.223506
2025-10-05 0.127651 0.223849 0.374592 0.622867 1.014807 1.600959 2.531830
2025-10-12 0.118880 0.217927 0.379102 0.653873 1.101771 1.791349 2.916631
2025-10-19 0.108468 0.207594 0.374892 0.669713 1.165238 1.949495 3.262588
2025-10-26 0.097898 0.195385 0.365834 0.675949 1.212691 2.084816 3.581056
2025-11-02 0.087640 0.182227 0.353394 0.674590 1.246431 2.199291 3.872512
2025-11-09 0.077553 0.167936 0.337141 0.664431 1.263407 2.286214 4.123143
2025-11-16 0.068604 0.154844 0.321958 0.655265 1.282393 2.379829 4.395510
2025-11-23 0.059329 0.139768 0.301268 0.633641 1.276901 2.430843 4.598832
2025-11-30 0.057063 0.139190 0.308879 0.667030 1.376020 2.673294 5.154815
2025-12-07 0.050027 0.127075 0.291665 0.649336 1.376010 2.736125 5.391836
2025-12-14 0.043935 0.116155 0.275563 0.631987 1.374658 2.795555 5.625469
2025-12-21 0.038903 0.106944 0.261973 0.618282 1.378967 2.865235 5.881848
2025-12-28 0.036611 0.104089 0.262091 0.633890 1.444249 3.056068 6.380281
2026-01-04 0.035587 0.104293 0.269166 0.665399 1.545089 3.322753 7.041357
2026-01-11 0.033605 0.101705 0.269411 0.681494 1.614245 3.530620 7.599094
2026-01-18 0.031204 0.097624 0.265603 0.687831 1.662572 3.699199 8.088225
2026-01-25 0.028607 0.092586 0.258836 0.686450 1.693492 3.833581 8.515511